Fatuous Fortune Telling

Fortune Teller

On last night’s NBC Nightly News, CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo fatuously assured Brian Williams that even though the sub-prime mortgage crisis has had a heavy impact here in our markets, banking system, etc., that one ray of hope lay in the fact that it has not spread to other nations.

Hello! Has she been paying any attention to the screaming headlines coming out of Great Britain the last week or so? There is a crisis in sub-prime lending there as well, and it has lead to an old fashioned run on the bank. Northern Rock, a consumer bank which has built its business on mortgage lending is in a crunch, and the government just yesterday took the extraordinary step of guarantying all deposits.

This from The Independent Online:

The Government made an unprecedented intervention in the Northern Rock crisis yesterday by publicly guaranteeing all the bank’s deposits. The intervention, by the Chancellor, Alistair Darling, capped a dramatic day that had seen further mass queuing outside Northern Rock branches and billions wiped off banks’ shares on fears of contagion.

The worst hit of the other banks was Alliance & Leicester, which tried to stem fears that it would be the next bank to seek emergency funding. Bradford & Bingley was another to feel the pain.

The slump in Alliance & Leicester’s shares raised fears of its customers making mass withdrawals of their savings in a second run on a British bank, and the Leicester-based mortgage lender had to act quickly.

But it was the Northern Rock crisis that continued to cause the most concern. The bank’s shares fell by 35.4 per cent, and mass withdrawals continued, bringing the total withdrawn in the past week to £2bn.
Banking Crisis: The Fear Spreads | Independent Online Edition

Blackwater Blacklisted for Black-ops

Blackwater Security

In the It’s About Time department, the Iraqi government has told Blackwater USA, the mammoth private security firm with tens of thousands of contractors working in Iraq, to pack up and leave the country:

The Iraqi government said it had revoked the license of Blackwater USA, a private security company that provides protection for American diplomats across Iraq, after shots fired from an American convoy killed eight Iraqis.
Abdul-Karim Khalaf, a spokesman for Iraq’s Ministry of Interior, said the authorities had canceled the company’s license and barred its activity across Iraq. He said the government would prosecute the deaths, though according to the rules that govern private contractors, it was not clear whether the Iraqis had the legal authority to do so.
Security Firm’s License Is Pulled in Iraq – New York Times

Note that last sentence (emphasis mine). This is exactly the plight that Robert Fisk was writing about back in February
What a massive cluster-fuck this whole thing, this whole mad adventure has become!

George Packer on Exit Strategy

 Bottom Falling Out

Packer has written an important piece in the New Yorker on the planning which has not happened yet, on how to get out of Iraq. I recommend it as required reading. I must admit to some mystification at this paragraph (emphasis added):

Bush will likely use Petraeus’s testimony, and his military prestige, to claim authority for sustaining the largest possible American presence in Iraq through the end of his Presidency. But how large could that presence realistically be? Currently, there are a hundred and sixty thousand troops in Iraq. The natural life of the surge will end in 2008, when the brigades sent earlier this year will finish their fifteen-month tours and return home. After that, it will become virtually impossible to maintain current troop levels—at least, for an Administration that has shown no willingness to disturb the lives of large numbers of Americans in order to wage the war. Young officers are leaving the Army at alarming rates, and, if the deployments of troops who have already served two or three tours are extended from fifteen to eighteen months, the Pentagon fears that the ensuing attrition might wreck the Army for a generation. Activating the National Guard or the reserves for longer periods could cause the bottom to fall out of public support for the war. Beyond these measures, there are simply no more troops available.
A Reporter at Large: Planning for Defeat: Reporting & Essays: The New Yorker

Excuse me?! “Could cause the bottom to fall out”! With support down to the high 20%s, how much more could it fall?

Say it Aint So


The Associated Press is reporting that Alan Keyes, the man who lost to Barack Obama by more than 40% in the 2004 Senate race, will try one more time to win the Whitehouse:

Alan Keyes, a Republican whose two previous runs for president ended in failure, is making a third try for the White House.
The Maryland conservative announced on his Web site that he filed paperwork with the Federal Election Commission on Friday to make his candidacy official. He joins a crowded Republican field of nine candidates and is scheduled to participate Monday night at a debate involving lesser-known candidates in Florida.
The Associated Press: Keyes Makes 3rd Bid for Presidency

Oh Goody! Ron Paul and Mike Gravel haven’t been getting enough press to keep things entertaining in this race, but with Keyes in it, there should be at least a couple hours of excitement.

Compass, What Moral Compass?

Moral Compass (not found in Washington)

It never ceases to amaze me that politicians, or others arrogant and drunk with power, put their feet even further into a quagmire when they try to ammeliorate a situation with words. Take the recent case of one Sen. Larry Craig, (R-ID). I am not referring to his attempts to talk his way out of his little fix, but rather his colleague’s attempts to justify why they think he should resign.

It would be fine if they thought he should resign because what he did was wrong, but to hear some of them it is merely because his actions reflect poorly on them. Take as examples statements made to the press yesterday by Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN), “Sen. Craig pled guilty to a crime involving conduct unbecoming a senator,” (ABC News) or Rep. Peter Hoekstra, (R-MI), “The voters of Idaho elected Sen. Craig to represent their state and will decide his future in 2008 should he fail to resign… However, he also represents the Republican party, and I believe he should step down, as his conduct throughout this matter has been inappropriate for a U.S. senator.” (CNN)

Now tonight comes this utterance, from Sen. John Ensign “I cannot imagine a sitting Senator wanting to put the Senate and their family through public humiliation like this.” (R-NV).

Well, its nice to hear all of that moral indignation, or should we call it immoral indignation?

Romney’s Friends and Journalistic Myopia

Out Of Order

The Note over at Mickey Mouse Dot Com has really gotten quite good of late, as Rick Klein has started to slip more comfortably into the sort of snarky early morning prose that so distinguished that sheet under Mark Halperin’s reign. He has been having a blast with the Wide Stance of (soon to be former) Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID), as shown here:

Collecting the reasons that Sen. Larry Craig, R-Idaho, didn’t do it:
1. “Wide stance.”
2. “He said/he said.”
3. Roaming toilet paper.
4. He’s a commuter.(?)
5. “Witch hunt.”
6. “Jiminy!”
7. “I am not gay. I never have been gay.”
8. “I am not gay. I love my wife.”
Craig also, apparently, loves political reporters. (Imagine what the next 36 hours will bring. And is he holding out the possibility of becoming gay in the future?) From the moment he thanked reporters for “coming out today” to his press conference, his surreal public appearance in Boise yesterday afternoon displayed all you need to know about why Craig has approximately zero friends left in political circles — and why the GOP is praying that he steps down, or at the very least steps aside before facing reelection next year.

Interestingly, this is the third (by my count) prominent Mitt Romney campaign co-chair, sponsor, or organizer who has had to leave the campaign due to personal peccadilloes. Hmmm:

Campaigns love the upside of endorsements, but they’re seldom prepared when bad news comes. Craig’s arrest “is one more reminder of the potential downsides for candidates: guilt by association, questions about judgment in the friends they pick, and several news cycles of bad publicity,” writes The Boston Globe’s Brian Mooney. “To avoid lasting damage, campaigns try to move quickly to limit the fallout” — which is why, of course, Romney isn’t waiting for this to play out any further.

I think Mr. Klein got it wrong with this next prediction, however. He should have known that on the second anniversary of the hurricane, all of the networks (his own included) already had at least one 5 minute Katrina package ready for the evening news (ABC ran two):

If there’s a benefit for the GOP, the “cloud over Idaho” Craig talked about yesterday is overshadowing the second anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. President Bush and First Lady Laura Bush visit the Gulf Coast today, after the parade of Democrats who blasted the Bush administration’s response to the disaster have cleared out of town.
THE NOTE: Craig Awaits Judgment

Kind words from John Edwards

We knew it had to happen, and now it has.  In about ten minutes, Alberto Gonzales will announce his resignation.  Former Sen. John Edwards summed it up best:

Former senator John Edwards, D-N.C., was first out of the box: “Better late than never.” (Karl Rove only got three words from Edwards — “Goodbye, good riddance” — in case you’re keeping score.)
THE NOTE: Gonzales Exits, Dems Attack

The Alley Of Trees

lamb_farm.jpg

Minnesota Memories

©1991, 2003 Nic Bernstein

I went to college in rural South-Western Minnesota in 1978. Coming from a more or less metropolitan area (Milwaukee, Wisconsin) I wasn’t quite ready for the transition, yet I made it easily enough.

Rural America in the late seventies was beginning to turn a little desperate. The farm crisis was brewing – many farmers ran up large debts when they followed the government’s advice and bought into heavy mechanization and expanded their acreage, but energy prices had shot up, and interest rates began to climb. Then, following the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, President Carter imposed an embargo on grain sales to the USSR, and that was the nail in the coffin for the classic American family farm. At least for many of them.

I left school, and Minnesota, just a few months after the embargo was declared, and its effects were not yet readily apparent. In future trips however, over the next few years, one couldn’t miss the malaise and desperation which had settled over the land.

On one return visit a friend asked if I wanted to go for a fish fry at Lyndwood, a huge barn of a bar on the outskirts of town. I had never gone to this place when I lived there, but I knew that they had taco nights, and fish fries, and other free food nights. Such events were common marketing ideas to get people in to drink.

What we found when we got to the bar was not your usual crowd of heavy drinkers out for a little free food first. No, it was a huge room full of entire families eager to get a free meal for the price of sodas for the kids. And there were kids, flocks of them. I was overcome when I saw this, as I am now as I write this over twenty years later. The owners, realizing that they provided a necessary meal, two or three times a week, to a good portion of the surrounding farm families, swore that they would keep feeding them as long as they could. Sure the fish was smelt now, not cod, but it was a good meal, and the only one these people could afford.

I only really kept touch with one friend from school who’s family farmed. His name was Dick, and his folk’s farm had been in the family for a hundred years when we first met. In the years following college, Dick went on to work at the land bank, and I drifted away from Minnesota and the land. We all got caught up in living our lives and fighting our battles.

I would talk with Dick from time to time and he would tell me how things were on the family farm, a place I loved deeply. His folks had fared alright during the farm crisis, they had not gotten over-extended, and had planned well. Others had lost everything.

One day, near Thanksgiving, over a decade after I had left school, I felt the crush of modern life pressing down on me. I longed for a little escape from the city, my work, my family, my job. I had an inspiration – I would call Dick and see if I could make my Thanksgiving on the farm!

–

1979 had been an eventful year. An uprising had toppled the Shah of Iran, introducing the world to militant Islam. Yet, the Camp David peace accords were signed that spring, promising a new beginning in the same region. The Vietnamese deposed the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia, ending the bloodiest regime since the Third Reich. And then in November the Iranian militants, now in power, took over the American embassy in Tehran and the hostage crisis began.

I was going to stay “on campus” that Thanksgiving. It was onerous to travel all the way home for such a short holiday, and food service promised a passable dinner for those few who stayed behind. That was when Dick came out to the dorm lounge and asked if I would like to come home with him for a real Thanksgiving. I could hardly say no! I had been to the farm once before, and already knew what a treat the Crumb family were. Dick’s mom had immediately dubbed me her favorite Jew-boy ( I wasn’t, but that only made her more adamant, and the line more funny), and his dad, Rich, had dragged me out to cut soybeans at some ungodly hour!

But I wasn’t the only one Dick asked along that weekend, he also asked the two Iranian students who were staying in our dorm, Naji and Massoud. They were stunned, and thrilled. They had gotten accustomed to being scorned in the few weeks since the embassy take over, and the last thing they expected was to be asked to join in a feast of such a nationalistic nature, in the heartland.

We all piled into Dick’s Chevy Nova and fought our way through the snow and fog Eastward across the state towards the Crumb Family farm, and the Crumb’s Thanksgiving dinner!

It was a spectacular event, family from all around, us strangers as welcome guests, and great food! I had never been served tomato as a desert, but I learned how good it could be!! After all of the food was consumed, and the dishes swept away, we retired to the recently constructed living room to sit by the fire and chat, with the snow covered vegetable gardens and newly planted pine trees framed by the grand windows on the Eastern wall. It wasn’t long before the conversation turned to the events overseas, and I was worried what may come. My worries were unfounded.

While Naji and Massoud expressed their remorse over the current state of affairs, and assured us that this new regime was no more to their liking than the one so recently deposed, they also told harrowing stories of loved ones lost to the Shah and his henchmen. This was a great introduction to me that all people are essentially the same, the world over, just with different languages, accents, traditions, etc., but with the same hopes and dreams and loves and wants.

Dick’s folks, a farmer and his wife, were so warm and accepting of these two young men. They harbored no bitterness or blame, only concern and a genuine desire to share stories and compassion. I grew quite a bit that weekend.

It was also on that weekend that I really got to know Dick’s friend Mark. They had grown up together, but Mark had stayed in town and Dick had gone off to school. Mark looked like a farmer’s son, a strapping guy in a feed-corn hat and a down vest over a flannel shirt. I could tell that Dick realized that there was a growing gulf between them, that while Dick was learning and growing and developing through scholarly challenge and the exposure to others which comes from a college experience, Mark was not really changing at all. He was stuck in time, out on the farm, building silos for a living.

This was an interesting dichotomy to me, this love of the land and the farm, and yet a chafing at its restraints. What I mistook as a gap between Dick and Mark, however, was more of a gap between Dick and his past – himself.

–

That was the pattern for my idyllic family farm Thanksgiving, and that was what I felt I needed to get my own life off of my back for awhile. I called Dick, invited myself to the farm, and bought air fare. Right there, right then, I felt better.

When we got to the farm, the day before Thanksgiving, the welcome was every bit as warm as I remembered it. Rich wasn’t working the farm anymore, he had rented the acreage out to some cousins, and Barb was now delivering the mail to help make ends meet, but the farm house and family were still as warm and inviting as always.

That evening Mark showed up after dinner and we went for a road trip in Mark’s new car. Road trips – hopping into a car and driving for miles on familiar country roads while listening to loud music and imbibing in one thing or another – that is what one did in the country in Minnesota. We drove and talked and reminisced for what seemed like hours, and then Mark pulled over on a small county road and got out of the car. I had no idea where we were, but I could tell from Dick’s face that it was some place important.

I asked, and Dick told me that this is where Mark’s family’s farm had been, where the farm house had been, where Mark had been born and had grown up. By this time Mark had crossed into the field, and was just standing there. I could tell that we should do something, but Dick, without his wheelchair, could not leave the car, and certainly not go into the field. I got out, went into the field, and approached Mark. He turned when he heard me come up, and faced me.

“Dick tells me that this used to be your folks place” I said, and his chest heaved a great sob. I really wasn’t prepared for this, but the next thing I knew I was standing in a stubble field in South-Eastern Minnesota, hugging a large man who was sobbing about the farm his family had been forced to sell. We stood there together a long time, and I tried to comfort him as best I could, which wasn’t very much, and then we got back in the car and drove back to Dick’s family’s farm.

That night I walked the line of the wind break around the farm house – the ash trees and pines – and I found the peace that I had come there for. I wrote a poem, and slipped into bed.

The next day we ate a grand feast, and not long after it was over Rich chased us out of the house with a dire warning of an ice storm, “If you don’t get a move on you’ll be stuck here all weekend!” The ice storm caught us before we got half way to Shelly’s motel in Hector, but that is another story for another time.

I am going back to the farm this weekend, it is the 125th anniversary as the Crumb Family farm, and I will be glad to be a part of that celebration. I regret that there are not more farm families able to have their own similar celebrations. I look forward to it, and to seeing the land, and to seeing Mark.

Walking in the alley of trees

Two lanes of ash

flanked by pines

define for me a spiritual place

as I walk through them

I feel a cleansing

a purification of the mind

All around me are the eyes of the wild

watching and waiting

to see what I will do next

with a great noise

they take to the air

remind me that I am not alone

Back and forth I walk

and feel the weight lift away

slowly, steadily, lighter and lighter

Gradually, the crunch of snow under my feet

fades to silence

and my body pivots from side to side

slipping between the branches

I am silent now

as I slowly drift upward

to fly with the grouse and pheasant

Below me I see a man

standing in a field

with his arms before him

as though he were holding a wounded child

As I approach

he lets loose a scream

deep from the gut

It’s echo rattles me

He cries for memories lost

wiped from the face of the earth

as though his past had never existed

“The land remembers,

the land will never forget”

I tell him

As I hold him,

he sobs on my shoulder

I don’t think that the land’s memory

is enough for him now.

Croissants Of The World

croissant.jpg

Croissants of the world

Copyright © 1991

Nic Bernstein

So, today, I was contemplating language, language and attitude. It came rather naturally, as I was sitting in a café, surrounded by the more affluent members of our community. I had ordered a croissant, and coffee, and received the usual odd look from the waitress due to my pronunciation, not only of croissant “krwah – sahn” but also of coffee “kaw – fee.” I have grown rather used to getting funny looks for the way I say coffee, or fog for that matter. I once had a woman exclaim to me, “But you must be from Boston, the way you say fog. I’m a linguist you know, when did you move from Boston?” Needless to say, she was a little put off when I insisted that I had lived nearly my entire life in Milwaukee. I lost any shred of prestige she had conjured up for me. Once, however, a friend of mine who probably considered himself more cosmopolitan than any of the rest of my acquaintances considered themselves, told me, “You know, Nic, you pronounce it correctly, that’s the way it should be pronounced.” He then went on to order another cup of “kah – fee.” Oh well…

So, I was sitting in the “ka – fay”, drinking my “kaw – fee,” and eating my “krwah – sahn,” all under the contemptuous eye of the “way – tris,” and I was contemplating language and attitude. Granted pronunciation, not language, is what I’m actually referring to, but specifically it is the pronunciation of foreign words. And I say attitude because I was pondering my own attitude, and that of the waitress, with regard to my pronunciations of these two words – croissant and coffee. I shan’t thrust this all upon the shoulders of the waitress. After all, she was a rather small player in this drama. The burden of language abuse rests more rightfully with the aforementioned affluent members of society surrounding me.

It was when I overheard one of this group order a “kroi – sahnt” and an “ek – spres – oh” that I really got going. Who, I wondered, was being more arrogant; myself, for presuming to use the correct pronunciations of these foreign words, or this other knob for presuming to Americanize them? And, beyond that simple question, why is it that people constantly refer to espresso as though it were spelled expresso? Should people, for that matter, even be allowed to order things in public which they cannot pronounce, without at least some penalty for not admitting that they can’t pronounce them?

I’m not referring to the confused tourist who nervously orders a “wees” beer in the German restaurant, looking at the waiter to see if they’ve said it right. No, I’m referring to the guy who struts up to the bar and orders a “wIs” beer, smugly looking as though he’s part of some elite club, even though he hasn’t the foggiest idea that what he really wants to order is a “vIs” beer. The bartender, or waiter, if he has even the vaguest knowledge of German, will of course chuckle to himself more at the confident guy’s foolish bravado than he will at the tourist’s honest ignorance.

For my own part, I avoid such embarrassment all together – I don’t drink beer. What is to be done, then, about this generation of semi-literates who surround us now? You know to whom I refer: That crowd which frequent the cliquish cafés, ordering “kroi – sahnts,” “ek – spres – ohs,” “wIs” beer, and “herb bred.” Should they be forced to take language courses on tape? Should they be disallowed from indulging in their favorite foreign delights, until they can learn to pronounce the names correctly? Or, should they be summarily executed for having the audacity not even to recognize their precarious purchase upon their position in a world society where American is but one language, with a short and undistinguished career, amongst a plethora of others?

In closing, then, I would like to leave you with this to ponder: Many years ago, while I was spending my days in a decidedly blue-collar vocation, I worked with a man named Frank, Frank Olchewski. Frank had been born and bred on the Polish, south side of town. When I went to cafés with Frank, I would order a croissant, and he would order a butter horn. We both received the same thing, and neither of us embarrassed ourselves.

 

Note: This piece won an honorable mention in the 1994 Shepherd Express short fiction contest.